New breed of Chinese automakers rewriting script
I’ve been reading over some stories I wrote for Automotive News in 2006, when I worked for AN in China. The stories about Chinese brands going international are both telling and, in some cases, prescient. Remember, back then electric vehicles were just a gleam in Beijing and some Chinese automakers eye. Chinese manufacturers lacked the engineering and design chops to produce cars for international markets.
Few now doubt the ability of Chinese engineers, and Chinese automakers have hired many European design executives to perk up their vehicles’ looks. But the vehicles they are engineering are completely different from the “old” days. And Chinese automakers are leaning on a foreign supplier for manufacturing, but not for design and engineering.
Let’s go back to 2006 and take a peak and what was happening in the China automotive world.
In March of 2006 I wrote a story with the headline “Chinese carmaker’s global quest faces hurdles.” The carmaker was SAIC, and its hurdles included a lack of management and engineering talent with international experience. Also, the Shanghai government was pushing SAIC to stop leaning on its JV partners VW and GM, and to develop its own brand using self-developed technology. Some things never change, eh?
So where is SAIC today? Well, it has its own brand, Roewe, and SAIC has an international footprint. The 2007 acquisition of Nanjing Auto, which owned Britain’s MG brand moved that along that. SAIC already owned stakes in Ssangyong and Daewoo.
Now SAIC has vehicle manufacturing in Thailand, Indonesia, India and Pakistan and sales offices worldwide. It also has more than 100 overseas parts and development bases. But its strategy seems strangely familiar. Per an SAIC press release of April 23, 2025:
“At the unveiling of the 2025 Shanghai International Auto Show today, SAIC Motor officially released its overseas strategy 3.0- “Glocal Strategy”. Over the next three years, leveraging its profound technological expertise in electrification, intelligent connectivity, and vehicle networking, SAIC Motor will develop 17 all-new overseas models covering SUVs, sedans, MPVs, and pickup trucks.”
Glocal is not a typo. It is a mash together of Global + Local. A unfortunate choice IMO as many will think, as did I initially, that is actually a typo. But hey, who am I to say?
The thing is, I feel like SAIC is stuck in a rut. Is the automaker’s state-owned status – it is owned by the Shanghai government – the issue? Perhaps. Because while the Shanghai government has always been pretty sophisticated, it is also conservative and, at the end of the day, state-owned.
I sadly wasn’t at the recent Shanghai Auto Show. Amusingly, western journos who were encountering Chinese smart, connected, electric vehicles for the first time were bowled over – again. Didn’t this happen at the Beijing show last year? What did they expect? But I digress.
The real stars of the show were not the old big wigs in China’s auto world including SAIC. The stars were the new breed of non-state-owned automakers, from Xpeng to Li Auto to Nio. And a relatively “old” privately owned company, BYD! And of course, Chinese battery maker CATL. I haven’t read more than a smidgen of the Western media coverage of the show, but I didn’t see anyone gushing over SAIC or BAIC or Changan et. al.’s hot models and technology.

But what is clear is that technology is now the defining characteristic of Chinese vehicles. And the technology was developed in China by Chinese engineers. As my friend Tu Le pointed out in his SAI Weekly of May 1, which covered the show, styling is not even very differentiated anymore.
Which is a nice segue into the next story from 2006 that has relevance today. In May of that year, I wrote a story with the headline “Magna Steyr poised for growth in China.” I am chuckling as I type that. At the time, Steyr had one – yes one – employee in China. Richard Hu, Magna Steyr’s technical sales director in China, told me finding engineers would be a challenge because so many automotive suppliers and manufacturers were looking to open r&d centers in China.
But,” Hu figures that the opportunity to design cars will help Magna’s recruiting efforts, as will the cachet of working for a company whose clients include BMW and Mercedes,” I wrote. Insert laughing until crying emoticon.
Of course, Magna Steyr did land a Chinese client – it now builds the ArcFox EV brand in Zhenjiang with BAIC. It has four engineering/product development/sales offices in China. Steyr does have additional Chinese clients. But they are in Europe! It has been reported that Steyr will assemble vehicles for Chinese EV maker Xpeng and state-owned automaker GAC from semi-knockdown kits (SKDs) at Steyr’s Graz, Austria plant. That will help the Chinese automakers sidestep Europe’s tariffs on vehicles imported from China.
Which kind of brings me full circle. I wonder if Chinese engineers will be working at the Graz facility, not on BMWs but on Chinese domestic brand vehicles!
Another story I wrote in 2006 had the headline: “Can Chinese Automakers Cut It in Western Markets?” We’re about to find out.
And if they do thrive in Europe, we may see if Paul Gao, who at the time was with McKinsey in Shanghai, has his timeline right.
Asked if U.S. automakers should be worried about Chinese automakers’ global ambitions, he told me: “In the five- to 10-year time frame, U.S. automakers should be worried. In the next three years? I don’t think so.”
Yes, what you say matches my understanding. I’ve put together a couple graphs on how the SOE auto firms have done, SAIC and BAIC and Changan and so on, though I don’t have data on exports. Basically, they have gone nowhere, and with the decline of joint venture production, have lost their cash cows. In contrast, it’s the private firms that have done well, Geely is adapting to electrification, albeit with teething problems, but still has a strong domestic position. Then there’s BYD, which was nothing at the start of 2020. Together those two have 28% of the domestic passenger vehicle market.
I hope to have the relevant graphs on my substack in a day or so. I do hope to get to China next month, for the first time since before autos were much of thing. My “boots on the ground” time outside the US is mostly Japan…
Mike,
What you will encounter is so far removed from the auto industry as it existed when I first started covering it around 1998, and really to a large extent even the last time I was there in 2019. I wrote two large reports for Wards Intelligence: China’s Electric Vehicle Future and China’s Autonoumous Vehicle Future, in 2018 and 2019. I need to re-read those and see if my predictions were correct.
Ditto, but in 2006-7 I was living in Tokyo (and thanks to Jim Treece, a member of the Foreign Correspondents Club). Toyota was just launching the Lexus brand inside Japan, but Shanghai was already subject to traffic jams, and bicycles were a thing of the past. Suzhou was unrecognizable from my first visit to China in 1994… My first standalone academic article on the Chinese car market came out ca 2016, and I had a chapter on China as an exemplar of emerging economy policy in a book co-authored with Peter Warrian that came out in 2017. I scanned those to add footnotes in my substack article (now posted, I need to go back to xref your blog). China was already a huge market, but sales were dominated by foreign models assembled via joint ventures, and the market was 99+% ICEs. It was already highly fragmented but also hugely profitable for VW and GM, a black Audi was the vehicle of choice for government officials. No longer profitable, even more fragmented – some of those early joint ventures are now shuttered. And I suspect officialdom is no longer associated with a single brand.
In Jan 2020 BYD had only 9 models, and they sold only 1,690 of the top one (秦新能源 Qin NEV). Four of those are no longer sold, 2 were totally renewed, and while the remainder may have been refreshed, they sell in small numbers. For April 2025, I counted 40 BYD models (for some, the EV and the PHEV versions have separate names so count as two models). In Jan 2020 total BYD sales were 8,310 units. Now they have 13 individual models with sales over 8,300 units, and total Apr 2025 sales of 268,778 units and exports of 72,723 units so 331,501 units not including domestic bus and other commercial vehicle sales. So they grew 40-fold in a bit over 5 years, and more if I used late 2024 data.
Graphs are now posted to my substack.